NFL Week 14 early predictions, lines: Best bets, picks to target

We head into December, oh, how fast the season goes.

Ahead of Week 14 of the NFL season, it’s the last of the bye weeks this week as the 49ers, Giants, Patriots, and Panthers each get the week to prepare for the playoff stretch run.

Below, we target a few lines that we see moving ahead of the Week 14 slate with these early predictions.

Winners and losers don’t matter, as long as you are able to get the opportunity to middle.

We want the best of the numbers in these two games with all odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook.

NFL Week 14 early predictions

Packers (-6.5) vs Bears

The Bears knocked the Eagles in the teeth up and down the field on Black Friday, but let’s keep that in perspective.

Philadelphia, which has a solid defense, was a team I was all-in on fading ahead of that game, is still beating itself with poor offensive results.

The Packers, on the other hand, are a far better matchup here against the Bears.

Green Bay is far better against the run, allowing 3.9 yards per carry, fifth-best in the NFL, while the Eagles are ranked 22nd in the NFL in that category.

I am not expecting to get the Packers under a touchdown here around game time, at which point we could middle by taking the Bears +7.5 if at all possible.

The Packers should be able to stop the run better than the Eagles.

Jaguars +1.5 vs. Colts

Jacksonville doesn’t really allow teams to gash them with the run, which is step one to beating the Colts.

Indianapolis, which has lost three of its last four games, needs Taylor to play well to win.

In those last three losses, Taylor is averaging 3.21, 3.63, and 4.03 yards per carry, three of his five worst rushing performances of the season.

The Jaguars are allowed 3.9 YPC and are rated No. 9 in the NFL against the run according to DVOA.

Add in the reality that Daniel Jones is less than 100 percent, and the math would point to the Jaguars closing as favorites at home here.

Expect Jacksonville to close -1.5 with Indianapolis being the bet to lock in profits.

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.